Asset Pricing and Monetary Policy∗
نویسنده
چکیده
This paper examines the role of money in understanding the behavior of asset prices and whether and how monetary policy should react to asset prices such as stock prices and equity premiums. To do so, I introduce money via the form of transaction cost into a production economy with limited stock market participation where agents with lower inter-temporal elasticity of substitution (IES), called non-stockholders, have no access to stock market. In addition to facilitating transactions of consumption goods, money also redistributes wealth by countercyclically transferring resources from stockholders to non-stockholders, the main role of non-state contingent bonds. The benchmark model resolves quantitatively the risk premium puzzle and the risk-free return puzzle, matches macroeconomic behavior such as volatilities of output, consumption and investment, and is in line with empirically documented facts about money growth, inflation and asset prices in literature. This model is then used to evaluate alternative policies for money growth rates. I find that monetary policies are welfare improving for both stockholders and non-stockholders if they reduce equity premiums in the economy. These policies include a lower expected money growth, a pro-cyclical money growth rate, and growth rates of money being positively reacting to equity prices or equity premiums, all of which enhance the precautionary saving role of money.
منابع مشابه
Tobin's Q channel and monetary policy rules under incomplete exchange rate pass-through
a r t i c l e i n f o JEL classification: E52 E58 F41 Keywords: Monetary policy rule Incomplete exchange rate pass-through Tobin's Q channel Asset prices This paper focuses on the role of the Tobin's Q channel in a two-country framework in which exporting firms set their prices on the basis of local currency pricing. Incomplete exchange rate pass-through significantly affects the Tobin's Q chan...
متن کاملMoney Growth Rules in an Emerging Small Open Economy with an informal sector
This paper is concerned with the saddle-path stability of monetary growth rules in a two-country two-sector dynamic stochastic general equilibrium model. Alongside standard features of emerging economies, such as a combination of producer and local currency pricing for exports, fiscal dominance and oil exports, this model also incorporates informal labour and production sectors and examines how...
متن کاملAsset Prices, Liquidity, and Monetary Policy in an Exchange Economy
I formulate a search-based asset-pricing model where equity shares and fiat money can be used as means of payment. I characterize a family of optimal stochastic monetary policies. Every policy in this family implements Friedman’s prescription of zero nominal interest rates. Under an optimal policy, equity prices and returns are independent of monetary considerations. I also study a perturbation...
متن کاملMacroeconomic Risks and Asset Pricing: Evidence from a Dynamic Stochastic General Equilibrium Model
We study the relation between macroeconomic fundamentals and asset pricing through the lens of a state of the art dynamic stochastic general equilibrium (DSGE) model considered in Christiano, Trabandt and Walentin (2011). We provide a full-information Bayesian estimation of the model using macro variables and extract three fundamental shocks to the economy through the model: neutral technology ...
متن کاملIlliquid Financial Markets and Monetary Policy∗
This paper analyzes the role of money in asset markets characterized by search frictions. We develop a dynamic framework that brings together a model for illiquid financial assets à la Duffie, Gârleanu, and Pedersen, and a search-theoretic model of monetary exchange à la Lagos and Wright. The presence of decentralized financial markets generates an essential role for money, which helps investor...
متن کاملAsset Pricing in a Monetary Economy with Heterogeneous Beliefs
In this paper, we shed new light on the role of monetary policy in asset pricing by focusing on the case where investors have heterogeneous expectations about future monetary policy. This case is realistic, because central banks are typically less than perfectly open on their intentions. Accordingly, surveys of economists in the press reveal that they frequently disagree in their expectations. ...
متن کامل